Hello Readers,
Help me with the following thought process as I try to reconcile the most probable future event from a given current event.
As you read on, you may tempted to take your own examples; I prefer to stay with a simple one - A Running Race frozen in time and the fate of a runner from there onwards. You may want to take other tangible examples like that of share price of a company in a stock market or fate of economy of a country from one point (if you are that ambitious).
The "Cone of Probable Paths" (as I like to put it) is more a set of postulates. It tries to reconcile fate, probability and possibly butterfly effect... I have pasted them below. Just read them for entertaintment - If possible try to respond helping me with the thought process. I moderate the discussion just so that we try to stay on course of the discussion.
(c) Copyright 2008- . All rights reserved. No part of this posted material may be used without direct consent from the author - Natarajan Ganesan
Help me with the following thought process as I try to reconcile the most probable future event from a given current event.
As you read on, you may tempted to take your own examples; I prefer to stay with a simple one - A Running Race frozen in time and the fate of a runner from there onwards. You may want to take other tangible examples like that of share price of a company in a stock market or fate of economy of a country from one point (if you are that ambitious).
The "Cone of Probable Paths" (as I like to put it) is more a set of postulates. It tries to reconcile fate, probability and possibly butterfly effect... I have pasted them below. Just read them for entertaintment - If possible try to respond helping me with the thought process. I moderate the discussion just so that we try to stay on course of the discussion.
- Every occurence of an event sets in motion a Cone-of-probable-path (COPP) that, in turn, defines the next course of probable events.
- The center of the cone represents high probablity and hence least effort to travel between two event points.
- Consequently, the periphery of the cone represents path of lesser probability and hence greater effort to traverse the events.
- Whether delineated or not, there exists a definite cone-of-probable path between any two event-cones. e.g. arriving at one event point from another always involves a cone of probable path.
- The cone of probable path changes continuously as events occur in an event-chain. The COPP is also influenced by apparently unrelated parallel events occuring elsewhere.
- While it is most often easy and possible to define the central part of the cone of COPP, it is often difficult to quantify the peripheral parts of such a cone.
- A miracle may be regarded as the least probable path between two event-cones lacking valid documentation to define the cone-path.
- In other words the event chain is like a sublimation process in physics.
- Simply put, a miracle doesnt exist.
(c) Copyright 2008- . All rights reserved. No part of this posted material may be used without direct consent from the author - Natarajan Ganesan